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Discussion » Statements » Rosie's Corner » 278. The minimum number of Electorial Colleges the Dems will get no matter whom they select as their candidate. WHAT?
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278. The minimum number of Electorial Colleges the Dems will get no matter whom they select as their candidate. WHAT?

A political science university professor named Rachel  correctly predicted the Dem humongous win in the House in 2018. She predicts that the Dem minimum no matter whom they select for a candidate will be 278 in the electoral college. To that we will add whatever swing states swing to the Dems.
Will Rachel be correct again? Tune in on November whatever 2021 and find out!

Posted - August 21, 2019
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Responses


  • 6023
    ... won't they be late, turning in November 2021?
    The election is November 3, 2020.

    hee hee hee

    Anyways, does she have a map?
    I'd like to compare it to this one.
      August 21, 2019 1:40 PM MDT
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  • 113301
    Oops.
      August 22, 2019 3:36 AM MDT
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  • 34864
    She has Michigan, Wisconsin, and Penn all going to the Dems automatically.  Trump won all three in 2016.

    She is assuming the blue wall is back and solid blue.  I believe she is wrong and if Trump keeps that wall from reforming...he will win again. 

    Here is her map:

    Here is my map:

    Whoever wins "the wall" will win the election. If they split the wall then the winner will need Florida:



    This post was edited by my2cents at August 21, 2019 1:54 PM MDT
      August 21, 2019 1:41 PM MDT
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  • 113301
    The political science professor has a system she talked about. Above my head m2c. Whether or not she is right we will find out. I just thought it was really amazing that anyone could be that certain this far ahead about anything. Thought I'd share it. Now we wait to find out if she takes a victory lap or eats crow. I don't know. Neither do you. But we will. Thank you for your reply. It took lots of work to contribute this. Thanks bunches. This post was edited by RosieG at August 22, 2019 4:17 AM MDT
      August 22, 2019 3:38 AM MDT
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  • 34864
    I do know. I know that "the blue wall" crumbled last time and there is no reason to believe it has been repaired to be able to call them this far ahead....you never base a Presidential election prediction on the midterm election results. The party in power always looses seats in the midterms. And that is what she used to make her prediction. 
      August 22, 2019 4:26 AM MDT
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