I guess the track record gives you a clue of what to expect. There are several ways to run a race. Which is best?

Grabbing the lead and maintaining it all the way to the Finish Line.
Starting off slow and building your speed then taking the lead and winning.
Starting off fast and slowing down and losing because you couldn't maintain the energy

Of course the first is preferable but how many can do that?
The second is good because along with the win you surprise everyone
That last one is seductive...start out ahead..can be intimidating to others psychologically.