If the first rally after a 3-month hiatus in a solid red state had that low a turnout what can trump expect in states that are marginal?

Trust you?---on what particular basis should we do that?

I called it correctly last time.

And I have not met 1 Trump voter who is supporting Biden. 
I know anti-Hillary voters who are now Trump supporters. 

You had a 50-50 chance of being right last time---So "calling" it correctly or a "lucky" guess is an equally probable explanation---

All we have to go on is the insight you offer in your other answers and comments on this site, so.....

:):):)

Clearly, this guy got a ticket.

 

Large sections of the auditorium were empty

As did these thousands of people for Trump. 

And these dozen for Biden.

Why do you keep bringing up Biden.  Do you think that makes it better that Trump only filled 1/3 of the arena?  I guess for the same reason you keep bringing up Clinton and Obama.  Because you can't really defend the indefensible without making it appear that someone else is as bad or worse.

:):):)

Look at the pict that obviously more than 1/3 of the arena. 

Tne fire marshall said 6200 tickets scanned but the special suites (nearly 40 of them) would not have been scanned. And any political people and their staff would not have been scanned.  So there is your difference. 

This is also assuming they scanned every persons ticket.  I know the rally I went to they did not scan my nor my husband's tickets. 

The point is while Trump may have pulled in less than expected it is still thousands more than Biden pulled in.  And Biden as the presumptive nominee is a valid comparison to anything mentioned about President Trump. 

I'm guessing you don't take into consideration the fact that Biden doesn't choose venues that hold 19,000 people if he holds a rally.  The point is, and I am saying this for the last time, that Trump bragged that he would have a million people at his Oklahoma rally.  He made a big deal about an overflow crowd that would have to be held outside, but that had to be cancelled because not only was there no overflow,  there were thousands of seats unfilled inside.  And now, I'm done with this because you absolutely refuse to see the point that Trump does not seem to be the draw that he once was.    

FYI - the Fire Department did not use scanned tickets to determine how many people entered the arena.  They used the number of people who went through the turnstiles, so even if your ticket wasn't scanned, the body count was accurate based on turnstile entry and I can't imagine that the people in the suites didn't go through the turnstiles.

Wrong the statement by the Firemarshall said the 6200 was the number of tickets scanned. And that private suits and political staff etc were not scanned.   Suites have a private entrance.

NYTIMES:
This post was edited by my2cents at June 22, 2020 11:20 AM MDT

"Andrew Little, the Public Information Officer for the Tulsa Fire Department, confirmed to Forbes on Sunday that a tally taken by the fire marshal clocked the turnout at just under 6,200 people, far fewer attendees than the campaign expected."
https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewsolender/2020/06/21/turnout-at-trumps-tulsa-rally-was-just-under-6200a-fraction-of-the-venues-19200-capacity/#66c749d81fed

Nearly 40 suites at 30 per suite is 1200. So how much media personal? How staff? Secret Service? Other political people? 
1000? I don't know. But I do know there was more 6200 and as I said about half full. 

Staff secret service "other political people" et al HAD TO BE THERE. NO CHOICE. The point is now many of the adoring worshippers not employed by trump showed up?

They count in the number of people there.  Not my rule. Just how it works. 

:):):)