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Will the coal industry enjoy a BOOM? Whom will that benefit? For how long? Another healthy forward/backward step toward clean air?

Posted - August 4, 2017

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  • 46117
    What brought this up anyway?

    The coal industry?
    Oooohkaaaay




    Despite a spike in coal prices last year and promises of better times ahead for the sector by President-elect Donald Trump, the US coal industry will continue to decline this year, though at a slower pace than in 2016, a new study shows.

    According to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), while US coal producers stand to gain limited market share in day-to-day competition due to a relative increase in the price of natural gas, its main competitor, any such gains will be marginal, it said in a report published Thursday.
    "IEEFA sees production declining by as much as 40 million tonnes this year and prices failing to increase enough to benefit shareholder or stimulate new investment."

    The authors, IEEFA Director of Finance Tom Sanzillo and Director of Resource Planning Analysis David Schlissel, believe coal will remain at the mercy of market economics. As such, they see production declining by as much as 40 million tonnes this year and prices failing to increase enough to benefit shareholder or stimulate new investment.

    Prices for thermal coal, which climbed up to $110 a tonne last year, have been falling in the last two weeks, trading close to $82 a tonne. Meanwhile, coking coal, which hit more than $300 a tonne in late 2016, is also down almost 40% at roughly $176 a tonne.

    The analysts also predict little or no gain from regulatory relief as capital continues its flight from coal, as well as increasingly dim employment prospects.

    They argue that, despite the hopes of many, the current power shift in Washington will have little impact on the industry.

    “Our outlook starts by acknowledging that the U.S. coal industry begins 2017 with better optics than it had a year ago,” they wrote in a related blog post. “A new administration comes to power in Washington this week promising regulatory relief and a coal resurgence, major industry players are emerging from bankruptcy, and a recent spike has occurred in global prices.”

    US coal industry to decline even further in 2017 — IEEFA

    While these optics are positive on their face, IEEFA sees the industry as a sector saddled with fundamental problems.

    One of main issues dragging the industry down, the authors say, is that too many companies are still mining too much coal for too few customers.

    The report concludes with yet another gloomy note, arguing that the long-term outlook for the industry in every coal-mining region from now through 2050 is “poor” and predicts that more coal-fired power plants will close while utilities will continue to allocate capital away from coal.

    This post was edited by WM BARR . =ABSOLUTE TRASH at August 4, 2017 12:29 PM MDT
      August 4, 2017 9:49 AM MDT
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  • 6477
    The coal mining industry in the UK has a long history, and a certain amount of culture along with it.. it was an important part of our history.  And it's left an impressive mark on our landscapes too.. it served many men and families very well for a very long time.. I wouldn't ever want to dismiss it.. but at the same time it was a *nasty* job.. not great for the environment or, ultimately the people who did the job.  So my thinking is.. while it has a proud tradition, best to retrain people, give them new jobs..not try to go back to the pretty damaging ways of the past. 
      August 4, 2017 12:33 PM MDT
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  • 113301
    Thank you for your reply Addb. There is a time and place for everything. As we move forward and improve our lot in life and the surrounding environment we should not drag along an old albatross that is dead and no longer of use. When we know better do better. Or should. Thank you for your reply Addb!
      August 6, 2017 5:02 AM MDT
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  • 22891
    maybe
      August 4, 2017 1:34 PM MDT
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