Discussion » Questions » Politics » Predictions for Senate 2022 election?

Predictions for Senate 2022 election?

Here is mine:

Map from www.270towin.com

Posted - November 6, 2022

Responses


  • 10624
    I predict that the Democrats will take the Senate and keep house. Cheers!
      November 6, 2022 9:23 PM MST
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  • 32946
    Dems have 50 in the Sen...so you think they will keep both. What state are the Reps going to lose?
      November 7, 2022 3:29 AM MST
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  • 10624
    Not sure what states they will lose. But I feel/see that  a blue wave is coming. Cheers! This post was edited by Nanoose at November 9, 2022 7:22 PM MST
      November 7, 2022 7:12 AM MST
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  • 32946
    Ain't gonna happen.  But I will leave with your good feeling tonight. 
      November 7, 2022 5:49 PM MST
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  • 32946
    So far, I have only missed 1...Pennsylvania 

    3 more waiting...GA, AZ and NV
      November 9, 2022 7:27 AM MST
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  • 5453
    I probably should’ve tried this before the election, but to me predicting presidential electoral college maps, Senate seat maps and House seat maps is like guessing how many gum balls are in the giant jar.

    Now that it’s down to four races, I think I can take a stab at it.  Adam Laxalt is probably going to win in Nevada.  Mark Kelly is probably going to win in Arizona.  Kelly Tshibaka is probably going to win in Alaska.  Raphael Warnock is probably going to win the runoff race in Georgia by less than a 1% margin.

    I have a feeling it’ll be the status quo, 50/50.
      November 9, 2022 7:21 PM MST
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  • 32946
    We will see AZ is still possible for Masters but not as lokely...there are 600K votes still to  count...and he has been gaining each update. 
      November 10, 2022 5:43 AM MST
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  • 13261
    The Republicans will win. Unless, of course, they don't. Trump didn't help their cause with the election-denying candidates he backed in states like New Hampshire. They also hurt themselves by failing to cultivate and take advantage of early voting. Folks on Fox say they need to move on from Trump's griping about the 2020 election.
      November 9, 2022 9:18 PM MST
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  • 32946
    245 endorsements in 2022 races.  195 wins, 50 losses.  That is an 80% win rate.  

    Oz was a terrible pick.  MAGA did not want him...there was a black lady that was a better candidate.  That should have got the endorsement.  She would have won. 
      November 10, 2022 6:12 AM MST
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  • 13261
    They would have done better if they accepted and embraced early voting.
      November 10, 2022 6:14 AM MST
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  • 32946
    I will NEVER vote early or by mail. I vote day of and in person.
    FOX is run by people who do not like Trump..this why I do not watch them. Paul Ryan is antiTrump. This post was edited by my2cents at November 10, 2022 6:25 AM MST
      November 10, 2022 6:21 AM MST
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  • 13261
    You don’t have to, but many people do now. It’s just a reality that both parties should encourage and take advantage of. It definitely helped democratic candidates.
      November 10, 2022 8:28 AM MST
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  • 32946
    Yes, I believe mail in ballots helped Dems.....lol. 

    I think anyone who votes should have to SHOW ID that should apply to mail in votes as well. I also believe mailing voted should be required to be delivered by election day.  We should know exactly how many mail in ballots were received when polls close on election day. 
      November 10, 2022 5:13 PM MST
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  • 13261
    Early voting is not by mail. It is in person and works the same way as voting on election day. That legitimately helped Democrats more than Republicans, except perhaps in Florida.
      November 10, 2022 6:21 PM MST
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  • 32946
    As long as ID is required fine. 
      November 11, 2022 6:23 PM MST
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  • 16336
    The Republicans have certainly not done anything like as well as they should have, given an unpopular Dem prez. Trump is probably the reason. The prediction is that the Senate hangs (GA will certainly go to a runoff) and they may even fall short of flipping the House, with 10 knife-edge seats almost certain to determine the outcome and all of them too close to call.
    Trump is proving to be a liability and DeSantis will probably beat him for the nomination in 24.
      November 9, 2022 10:15 PM MST
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  • 13261
    Not probably. Trump is definitely the reason. Almost every one of his election-denying candidates went down.
      November 9, 2022 10:48 PM MST
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  • 32946
    Lol. The House is done....it is Red. Nancy is likely retiring. 
    GA is already been called to go to the runoff. 

    80% win rate for Trump endorsements  in 2022. 
    DeSantis should stay home 2024, unless Trump does not run. (He is running) DeSantis will just anger the Trump supporters and that would be a political mistake. 
      November 10, 2022 6:18 AM MST
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  • 13261
    But how funny would it be if DeSantis runs and beats Trump, who on election day 2024 will be four months older than Biden was on election day 2020? DeSantis is younger and much more vigorous.
      November 10, 2022 6:24 PM MST
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  • 16336
    And not under investigation for multiple counts of fraud.
      November 10, 2022 8:00 PM MST
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  • 32946
    I like DeSantis but he is done if he runs against Trump...he will just anger the MAGA vote. And lose is 2028 chance. 
      November 11, 2022 6:21 PM MST
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  • 16336
    The Republican Party has LOST at least one Senate seat, given that the two independents lean left. That hasn't happened to an opposition in a midterm since 1978.
    Historically, the party of a sitting President loses on average 28 seats at a midterm. This time it hasn't got even close to that.
      November 11, 2022 3:19 PM MST
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  • 32946
    OZ was a horrible candidate. 

    Where did you read that fake news? Republicans won Senates seats in Florida, Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota in 2018.  Gained 2 Senate seats.  (I was very happy to do my part and help send Claire McCaskill to MSDNC instead of DC)

    Average loss really means nothing....the amounts vary drastically since Reagan the House has varied from +8 (Bush) to -63 (Obama)
    We will have control....that is what matters.



    This post was edited by my2cents at November 11, 2022 6:19 PM MST
      November 11, 2022 6:19 PM MST
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  • 16336
    Reuters, which doesn't lean either way. Fettering wrested a PA Senate seat, three are uncalled (with Dems leading in two - and the third, Alaska, is already a Republican seat, the question being exactly WHICH GOP candidate wins, the incumbent is currently trailing in the count), GA goes to a run-off.
    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-pick-up-us-house-seats-democrats-edison-research-projects-most-races-2022-11-09/ This post was edited by Slartibartfast at November 11, 2022 8:21 PM MST
      November 11, 2022 7:44 PM MST
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